Property reacts to Trump victory
9th November 2016
property industry has begun to react to Donald Trump’s poll-busting victory in
the US Presidential election.
Following Trump’s victory
this morning, Mike Prew, an equity analyst at Jefferies, suggested the news
could, among other things, lead to a sharp uplift in demand for homes in
“It’s another Black Swan in
what has been an odd year, from Leicester winning the Premier League in May,
the UK voting for Brexit in June and now Donald Trump elected the 45th
President of the US in a campaign dominated by a pro-growth and pro-jobs
economic themes”, wrote Prew in a note this morning.
means fiscal loosening in the world’s largest economy, and the bi-products will
impact the UK real estate industry and REIT sector. US inflation rates are
expected to increase, and US real interest rates are expected to turn
Bailey, head of research at Knight Frank, said the US will remain the critical
global source and destination for property investment flows.
Bailey said: “There may be
a period of instability in currency markets, which will influence some short
term decision making around asset allocation.
“However, rather like the
Brexit vote in the UK the surprise of last night’s result will be likely to be
replaced by a more considered view of the implications of the new presidency.
“It is important to
remember that almost alone of all developed economies the US has largely shaken
off the impact of the global financial crisis and has led the way to improved
“The business environment
in the US and innovation in business services and technology providers based in
the US have helped to drive property market demand globally - it is an
incredibly strong platform to build from.”
markets, the FTSE 100 opened 145 points, or 2%, lower as investors reacted to
Donald Trump’s shock US election win. The initial fall wiped £37bn off the
value of the UK’s biggest listed companies in just a few minutes, but the index
quickly bounced back to stand just 25 points down at 9am.
reaction followed a 5% slump in Japan’s Nikkei while in Hong Kong, the Hang
Seng fell 2%. The US dollar also sank while the Mexican peso plummeted by as
much as 13% to a record low.
Investments seen as safe
havens, such as government bonds and gold, as well as the Japanese yen and
Swiss franc, all attracted investors as Trump’s victory became more clear
through the night.